Issue 15: The Crypto Playbook: What Every Chart Is Telling YOU Right Now

🚀 The Greenprint

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🚀Price Check:

At the time of writing 6.00pm AEST / 4.00am EST (18-08-25)

🔑 This Week in Crypto

Hello my friends! Some quick hitters from this week in Crypto after we close red.

1. Amdax goes big – Dutch firm plans a Bitcoin treasury company on Euronext, aiming to stack 1% of BTC supply.

2. Trump opens 401(k)s to crypto – Retirement funds can now get crypto exposure, sparking huge debate.

3. BlackRock hits $100B+ in crypto – World’s largest asset manager is now one of Bitcoin’s biggest whales.

4. BTC record, then pullback – New ATH near $124K USD before inflation data triggered a sharp correction.

5. Pro-crypto policy wave – U.S. fast-tracks deregulation under Trump, fueling adoption but raising risk flags.

Macro Update

Big week ahead for markets. On the calendar we’ve got: Zelensky meeting Trump (Monday), Fed minutes (Wednesday), PMI data (Thursday), Existing Home Sales (Thursday), and Powell speaking Friday. Last week’s PPI came in hot, pushing rate cut expectations further into September.

For crypto, September has historically been the most bearish month of the year for Bitcoin, with an average return of –3.77% (one of only two negative months on record, alongside June). That seasonality could make this month a challenge.

On the liquidity side, global M2 money supply growth slowed after June, which historically lines up with slower momentum for Bitcoin. Liquidity expansion = bull runs. Liquidity tightening = chop. So, until banks 'greenlight' more easing, patience is key.

Bigger picture: in past cycles, Bitcoin’s halving to peak window has averaged ~530 days, pointing to mid-October 2025 as a potential cycle top. But with institutional adoption heating up, pro-crypto narratives from Trump and broader global interest, this cycle could stretch longer, possibly becoming the longest bull run in Bitcoin history.

📈 Trading Made Simple: How to Read Charts Without Overthinking

Most people think trading is staring at charts 24/7 with 20 indicators on the screen. The reality? You don’t need to be glued to charts to get a solid grasp on what’s happening. A simple understanding of price action and structure can change the way you look at markets forever.

Here’s the foundation:

• Equal highs and lows = price is stuck in a range. Believe it or not, markets spend around 80% of their time doing this. When you see price bouncing between the same top and bottom, that’s a range.

• Higher highs + higher lows = bullish trend. Each push up breaks the previous high, and each dip stays above the last dip. That’s strength.

• Lower highs + lower lows = bearish trend. Price fails to break higher and keeps pushing to new lows. That’s weakness.

Indicators like RSI or MACD can help confirm the trend, but remember they’re lagging indicators. They tell you what already happened, not what’s happening right now. Use them as context, I use them as bias, not gospel for entries/exits.

Candles also tell a story. A doji candle, for example, shows indecision, where buyers and sellers fought, but no one won. An engulfing candle means a trend reversal with strength is occurring on the asset. You don’t need to memorize every candle type, just understand what they mean if you see them on the chart.

Another golden rule I stick to: always prioritize higher timeframes.

If you’re trading on the 5 minute or even the hourly chart, you must know what the 4H and daily trend are doing. And above that, having a clear weekly bias and levels mapped out keeps you aligned with the bigger picture.

Lower timeframes move fast and can fake you out, but the higher timeframe trend sets the true direction. Trade with that bias and you’ll avoid fighting the market.

Keep it simple: structure + context + patience. When you can identify a trend, a range, or a potential reversal, you’re already ahead of 90% of beginners who rely on random calls on Twitter or ‘their gut feeling’.

If you want to go deeper, learning how to apply this every single day, this is exactly what we do inside GTG. We break charts down step-by-step, so you actually understand what you’re trading and start winning consistently in crypto.

🔮 Market Update: Ethereum & Solana

ETH at Make or Break Level

Ethereum is testing the same resistance zone ($4,000–$4,200) that has rejected it multiple times since 2021.

If ETH can hold above $3800, the path opens toward $5K+. But if it fails again, history suggests another pullback back into the $3,200 – $2,700 range.

Right now, this is the key level to watch.

Solana at Mid-Range Levels

Solana is currently trading around $180, sitting in the middle of a larger range that’s been in play for over a year.

• Support levels: The key support is around $155 and $120. Below that, momentum weakens quickly.

• Resistance levels: On the weekly, $192 remains the main resistance here which is the 0.5 of this full range. Outside that $200 is a psychological barrier, and the big macro resistance is up at $250 – $260. This zone has rejected Solana multiple times in the past.

• Trendline support: There’s a green upward trendline that’s helped push price higher since 2023, however as long as SOL stays below this, it remains overhead resistance.

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Final thoughts

Markets are entering a pivotal stretch. Macro data and Fed commentary will shape risk appetite this week, while Bitcoin faces its most historically bearish month in September. At the same time, majors like ETH and SOL are both pressing into multi-year resistance zones levels that have consistently decided whether rallies continue or fade.

The lesson here? Respect the higher timeframes. Chasing every 5-minute move without understanding the weekly trend is a fast track to getting chopped up. Stay patient, let the market show its hand, and position with the bigger picture in mind.

And remember: you don’t need 10 indicators to trade well. A simple grasp of price action, ranges and candle structures can take you further than you think.

If you want to level up your skills and learn how to read markets like this day to day, that’s exactly what we do inside GTG.

Greeny